Defense counts too

Posted in NBA on May 13th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment
Not pretty, but effective. Source: nbcchicago.com

Not pretty, but effective. Source: nbcchicago.com

This post appears in fantrax.com on May 13, 2013

A few weeks ago, Grantland NBA writer Zach Lowe made a salient point – defense counts for 50% of the game. While that may seem obvious, so many executives, members of the media and fans don’t realize it. Dunks, clutch shots and no-look passes make the highlight reel. If it’s not a blocked shot, defensive contributions don’t.

This year’s playoffs have shined a light on why D matters at least as much as O. To bang home the point, let’s play a little game of “who would you rather?”

David Lee or Joakim Noah?

Lee: 18 PPG. 11 RPG. 52 FG% 80 FT%. 36.8 minutes per
Noah: 12 PPG. 11 RPG. 48 FG% 75 FT%. 36.8 minutes per

In every offensive category Lee is equal to or better than Noah. Lee can also step out and make the jumper, while Noah’s two-handed push shot makes Bulls fans cringe every time he winds up to let one go.

On the other side of the ball – Noah is the vocal leader and anchor of Coach Tom Thibodeau’s second ranked defense. The man is relentless. He’ll guard any frontcourt player, and if he’s forced to switch on a pick, can force most backcourt players into a tough shot or passing decision. Not only is his on-the-ball defense outstanding, but he covers huge chunks of the court with his help defense.

In stark contrast, Golden State Coach Mark Jackson has to hide and compensate for Lee’s defensive ineptitude. Lee cannot be trusted to cover any top forward or center, so the rest of the team has to keep its eye on Lee’s man while keeping track of their own.

Many would have a difficult time deciding between which player they’d want. But consider the following then realize that the decision is not even close:

- David Lee had never made the playoffs before this year, his ninth season.

- The Warriors have played better since Lee tore his hip flexor. With Lee out, relative unknowns in Harrison Barnes, and Draymond Green have shouldered the defensive burden, and they have combined with former number one pick Andrew Bogut to make up for the lost offense. Sure Stephen Curry making shots from anywhere on the floor helps too, but defensively Golden State has banded together since Lee’s injury to make it deep into the second round.

- the Bulls got destroyed in Game 1 vs Brooklyn with Noah playing 13 painful minutes. Since then Chicago has gotten 33+ minutes a night from Noah, and have managed to make it to the second round with an almost laughable slew of injuries. Luol Deng and Kirk Heinrich missed Game 6 and Game 7 of the first round and Chicago still came out on top. They wouldn’t have had a chance in hell if  Lee was in instead of Noah.

Jamal Crawford or Tony Allen?

I hope the writers who voted Jamal Crawford second in sixth man of the year watched the Clippers fall to the Grizzlies in the first round. It’s easy (and lazy) to value him over someone like Tony Allen:

Crawford: 17 PPG. 44 FG%. 38 3FG%. 87 FT%. 
Allen: 
9 PPG. 45 FG%. 13 3FG%. 72 FT%. 

While Allen has the slightly better shooting percentage, note that Crawford takes his shots from all over the floor, while Allen can’t consistently make a basket outside of 10 feet. So the skill and efficiency advantage still goes to Crawford.

But, just like the Lee/Noah comparison – Crawford has to be hidden on defense, while Allen can guard point guards up to some small forwards. There’s a reason Crawford has always been known as a “spark off the bench” rather than a reliable rotation player – he can’t stop anyone. Another David Lee parallel – Crawford didn’t make the playoffs until his tenth season.

The most powerful illustration of Allen’s value over Crawford’s came after the first two games of the Clippers/Grizzlies opening round series. Crawford had torched Memphis for 28 points off 50% shooting in Game 1 and Game 2 combined, so Coach Lionel Hollins stuck Allen on him for the rest of the series. From Game 3 on, Crawford could do nothing but hoist ill-advised, contested jumpshots. In Games 3 to 6 Crawford shot 30%, 36% 43% and 0% respectively. Allen even outscored Crawford over that stretch, 48-37. Allen neutralized Crawford, and Memphis won every contest en route to the next round.

The offensive flair and finesse of David Lee and Jamal Crawford is sexy. The grit and grind-it-out style of Joakim Noah and Tony Allen is not. But it’s the wins that count, and it’s no coincidence that the latter two are still competing in the second round, while Crawford’s team is not, and Lee’s absence may be the reason the Warriors are.

 

Really Brooklyn?

Posted in NBA on May 6th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

NO Excuse for falling to the Bulls, Deron. Source: gq.com

This article appears in fantrax.com on May 6, 2013

It’s unclear why this series got so little pub heading into Game 1. Two big, sexy markets were squaring off in the most difficult opening round matchup to predict. Point guard Deron Williams had revitalized his tenure as a Net, bouncing back from a nagging ankle injury to put up 20+ points and seven+ assists since the All Star Break. Brook Lopez had become the best offensive center in the league, averaging 19 points on an expanding variety of post moves and jumpshots. On the other side, though former MVP Derrick Rose was out, the Chicago Bulls had a gritty, skilled cast that embodied its firey defensive minded coach. read more »

Round 1: Where Writers Look Silly

Posted in NBA on May 1st, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

What happened, Paul? Source: http://bbyao06bball.picturepush.com/

This article appears in fantrax.com on April 28, 2013

I’m in a playoff pool – predict every series winner and the number of games the series will last. I felt I had a pretty good handle on how everything would play out, but let’s take a quick-hitting look on what I predicted vs what’s actually transpired. read more »

The East after Game 1

Posted in NBA on April 29th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

What we know after the NBA Playoffs Opening Weekend. Source: cultofandroid.com

This post appears in fantrax.com on April 22, 2013

Not the most scintillating start to the National Basketball Association’s postseason. For the first time in 10 years, every home team took Game 1. One game was in doubt late in the fourth quarter, while six were decided by double digits. What can we project after the playoffs’ opening weekend?

Here’s a look at the Eastern Conference:  read more »

Celtics/Knicks Playoff Preview

Posted in NBA on April 22nd, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

They’re old, and they’re ready.

This post appears in fantrax.com on April 15, 2013

The Boston Celtics have played this game before. Last year after a hot start, they coasted through the regular season, finishing and finished fourth in the Eastern Conference. Though home court advantage was sacrificed, their health was preserved, and as a result they came within one game of reaching the Finals.  read more »

Shorten the Season PLEASE

Posted in NBA on April 15th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

Players like Manu are worn down. Source: blacherreport.com

This post appears in fantrax.com on April 8, 2013

At the 70-game mark, there were 18 teams fighting for 16 playoff spots. This leaves 14 squads playing out the string, several of which had no chance in January. As a die-hard Toronto Raptors fan, I can speak for the downtrodden fanbases of Sacramento, Charlotte, New Orleans, Orlando and whoever else – as of a month ago, I have periodically forgotten that my team was still playing games. read more »

Delving deeper into the Heat

Posted in NBA on April 8th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

Coach Eric Spoelistra: you make good game plans. Source: espn.com

The post appears in fantrax.com on April 1, 2013.

With only four teams left in contention for the NCAA championship, everyone’s month of pretending to be a college basketball fan is drawing to a close.

If your energy wasn’t sapped by two horrendous NCAA games Sunday afternoon, you would have seen a fantastic display of team basketball and coaching by the Miami Heat in San Antonio later that night. read more »

The Lakers are not threats

Posted in NBA on March 29th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

LAL doesn’t scare the West’s best. Source:nydailynews.com

This post appears in fantrax.com on March 18, 2013

With a month left in the National Basketball Association’s season, there are plenty of playoff positions to be decided. In the East, the Indiana PacersNew York KnicksBrooklyn NetsAtlanta Hawks,Chicago Bulls and Boston Celtics could all finish anywhere from second to seventh. In the West, the final playoff spot is still up for grabs, with only three games separating the sixth-place Golden State Warriors, seventh-place Houston Rockets, eighth-place Los Angeles Lakers, and ninth-place Utah Jazz.

Let’s assume the Lakers make the playoffs.  read more »

Can Indy step to the Heat?

Posted in NBA on March 18th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

David West holds Indiana’s only edge over the Heat. Source: indycornrows.com

This post appears in fantrax.com

The Indiana Pacers match up well against the Miami Heat. They have Paul George‘s length – 6’8 with a 7’0 wingspan – athleticism and desire to contain LeBron James. They have Lance Stephenson, who at 6’5/210lbs can body up Dwyane Wade. At point guard. George Hill is strong and has the quickness to matchMario Chalmers. And they have a bruising, unintimidated frount court in David West and Roy Hibbert. All of the above has translated into the NBA’s stingiest defense. read more »

Is Josh Smith Worth the Max?

Posted in NBA on March 11th, 2013 by andrew – Be the first to comment

So much talent. So many issues. source: lakerholicz.com

This post appears in fantrax.com

There’s a great scene at the end of the movie Rounders. Mike McDermott (Matt Damon) has defeated Teddy KGB (John Malcovich) in a heads up poker duel. KGB is seething – he can’t bare paying his adversary the exhorbitant sum he now owes. But after some contemplation, he mutters to one of his cronies in resignation, “Pay him. Pay that man his money.” read more »